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Nov 15, 2012
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the other thing is we're now in an environment where the dividend tax rate is 15%. we know it is not going down from here. it will go up from here. investors are now realizing that they have to execute on the tax changes that will occur. >> really interesting theme i've been hearing over and over is europe, which we just found out today, is officially in recession. a lot of folks are looking to go over there and pick through the bones in europe. not on a country wide basis, but they're looking for that type of opportunity here. >> what about that, joe? some of your colleagues here on the floor of the new york stock exchange have been saying they're sniffing around, maybe buying here. we're back to levels we haven't seen since july. are you among them? >> not just yet. you know, i hear people still using the word uncertainty. i think there's a lot of certainty that's come about in the last few weeks, in particular, the president's going to exert his will. he's now into his second term or about to enter his second term. he doesn't have to answer to have many people. c
the other thing is we're now in an environment where the dividend tax rate is 15%. we know it is not going down from here. it will go up from here. investors are now realizing that they have to execute on the tax changes that will occur. >> really interesting theme i've been hearing over and over is europe, which we just found out today, is officially in recession. a lot of folks are looking to go over there and pick through the bones in europe. not on a country wide basis, but they're...
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Nov 14, 2012
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that's 7% in a zero interest rate environment. we all knew it was going to be a slow economy. we all knew the market was going to grow slow. the bottom line is even with the decline in the last eight days, we're still up 6.5%, 7%. >> you're saying to buy into this selloff? >> i think you have to buy into it. where are you going to put your money? most of the money is going into fixed income. that's just crazy. we know future interest rates are going to go higher. that's not going to hurt corporations. it's not going to hurt profits, but what it is going to do is hurt the individual investor. they should be in equities. when you look at the dividend plays out there, it's crazy not to be. >> boy, when it comes to the markets, michael, you could not have a more different point of view, could you? >> we have about 30% cash. i took out another about 20%. we're about 50% today in cash. i don't think the fiscal cliff is going to happen. i think they're going to punt. i don't think anybody in washington, d.c. has the meatballs or spaghetti to care about cutting our debt and deficits.
that's 7% in a zero interest rate environment. we all knew it was going to be a slow economy. we all knew the market was going to grow slow. the bottom line is even with the decline in the last eight days, we're still up 6.5%, 7%. >> you're saying to buy into this selloff? >> i think you have to buy into it. where are you going to put your money? most of the money is going into fixed income. that's just crazy. we know future interest rates are going to go higher. that's not going to...
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Nov 14, 2012
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especially the thing about the ip spending environment, it's a tough spending environment. security is one of the few sub sectors that's holding up well and that's kind of a glimmer of hope in a tough macro. >> i presume they'd have to pony up, though. daniel, good to see you. thank you for joining us. >> looking for silver lining amid the cyber security storm clouds. >> one story to leave you with, in queensland in australia, earlier this morning they got a full solar eclipse, completely blocked out the sun at 6:39 local time. we might just see it before we go. >> wow. it's amazing. >> there we go. we've got it. >> and on that lunar shot, kelly and i will say goodbye. "squawk box" is up next. >> we'll see you back here tomorrow. >>> the looming fiscal cliff. some of the nation's best-known ceos are headed to the white house today to meet the with the president. >>> on the economic agenda, key reads on the consumer and inflation and that happens before the bell. in corporate news, cisco's first quarter results beat the street, but ceo john chambers cautions of flat earnings
especially the thing about the ip spending environment, it's a tough spending environment. security is one of the few sub sectors that's holding up well and that's kind of a glimmer of hope in a tough macro. >> i presume they'd have to pony up, though. daniel, good to see you. thank you for joining us. >> looking for silver lining amid the cyber security storm clouds. >> one story to leave you with, in queensland in australia, earlier this morning they got a full solar...
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Nov 14, 2012
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we're talking about a high regulatory environment. who the heck knows what happens over the near term on the fiscal cliff. is it more prudent to stay on the sidelines? you want to look for specific situations? >> let's assume they're in. they're not traders. we're an advisory conference. they're in the market. i think to sell here, to just get nervous, panic, see what's on the news and to throw it in is not prudent. we're coming into thanksgiving. you have good seasonality. i think we get a lift. when we get a lift, if you are this person who says i need to take some risk off the table, that's when you do it. so if you're looking to go into 2013 and you are uncertain, as i am, i think we have a lot fourth go down. so if you're a trader, i think you can trade this to the up side. if you're a longer term investor, you get a pop, you take some off the table and you re-evaluate like in six months. >> that's the strategy. wait for a gain so you're not selling out at the bottom here. >> i think selling in the red today is not prudent. >> ok
we're talking about a high regulatory environment. who the heck knows what happens over the near term on the fiscal cliff. is it more prudent to stay on the sidelines? you want to look for specific situations? >> let's assume they're in. they're not traders. we're an advisory conference. they're in the market. i think to sell here, to just get nervous, panic, see what's on the news and to throw it in is not prudent. we're coming into thanksgiving. you have good seasonality. i think we get...
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Nov 15, 2012
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based on what we think the macroeconomic environment is going to do. >> so you were at that meeting at the white house this week. you joined a number of ceos at the white house yesterday. did the president give you hope that layoffs can be avoided at aetna? how was that meeting? >> i thought the meeting was a very constructive, very frank and open dialogue. i was impressed with the level and the grasp of the issues that the president had and his willingness to listen to american business about the ways that we needed to solve this problem. i think there is is a path to get this done. it's not going to get all done before the end of the year. but i think our message to the president was we're here to support you if you can avoid the cliff and put together a very specific framework on how we're going to get the economy going. because going over the cliff creates more joblessness. and if we can avoid that, we still don't grow the economy in 2013, so we need to show the business community, and quite frankly, all americans, that we have a plan to deal with this deficit so that we can grow e
based on what we think the macroeconomic environment is going to do. >> so you were at that meeting at the white house this week. you joined a number of ceos at the white house yesterday. did the president give you hope that layoffs can be avoided at aetna? how was that meeting? >> i thought the meeting was a very constructive, very frank and open dialogue. i was impressed with the level and the grasp of the issues that the president had and his willingness to listen to american...
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Nov 19, 2012
11/12
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there's a little bit of a risk on type environment at the moment. and the ten year bund yield moving a little higher. the same goes for spain, built oig and yield, as well. we were looking at the euro just bouncing a little bit against the dollar. you're heading into this morning's session, we're holding on to those gains, 127 and a bit. the dollar yen coming off by just a tad. president obama meeting with myanmar's president and opposition leader. obama saying his six hour stopover should be seen as a sign of support for myanmar's attempts at democratic reforms rather than endorsement of the country's government. meanwhile his three day trip is also aimed at reinforcing america's ties with the region. analysts say it's something china is watching very closely. deidre has more. >> the obama's administration to choose southeast asia as the president's first foreign trip since winning re-election was greeted by some with surprise. after all, there are far bigger economies in asia that warrant his attention. the strategic importance of southeast asia i
there's a little bit of a risk on type environment at the moment. and the ten year bund yield moving a little higher. the same goes for spain, built oig and yield, as well. we were looking at the euro just bouncing a little bit against the dollar. you're heading into this morning's session, we're holding on to those gains, 127 and a bit. the dollar yen coming off by just a tad. president obama meeting with myanmar's president and opposition leader. obama saying his six hour stopover should be...
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Nov 16, 2012
11/12
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in the kind of mack troe environment we see going forward, we still think there is a place for those high-quality defensive stocks so there is a thesis there apart from the dividend. but, getting on to the high-yield question, with a higher tax rate next year, what it does is i think it makes it quite important for investors to think about asset location and perhaps there's a more efficient place to hold these assets that are becoming less tax efficient. for instance, hold them in your i.r.a. don't hold them in your taxable account. >> let's channel our inner howie mandel, deal or no deal on the fiscal cliff? >> we think deal but not this year. we think there will be a deal around the framework potentially but that the real tax and entitlement reform discussions will have to be hammered out in 2013. >> katie nixon, thanks for being with us. >>> let's hear what washington has to say and we'll talk about that more later on this hour of -- >> tyler, despite what could be positive developments, our economy is still of course to a certain extent being held hostage as we await the outcome
in the kind of mack troe environment we see going forward, we still think there is a place for those high-quality defensive stocks so there is a thesis there apart from the dividend. but, getting on to the high-yield question, with a higher tax rate next year, what it does is i think it makes it quite important for investors to think about asset location and perhaps there's a more efficient place to hold these assets that are becoming less tax efficient. for instance, hold them in your i.r.a....
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Nov 14, 2012
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when we bought it just superior business model in a tough environment. if things get better, great, employment improves, we're going to have more hook-ups, housing improves, more connections, great growth story. if things don't get better, we're trying to protect for the downside and keep that optionalty if the economy improves. comcast could be a monster return on capital going forward. and that's been a big core holding for quite a while, as well. >> no kidding, you've done well -- you bought it down in the low 20s? >> i don't know the actual cost price in front of me. i can tell you it's been one of our big holdings for a couple of years. home depot and lowe's we bought at the end of '11. we had a thesis that housing was bottoming. and now the housing improvement is accelerating and that's a big deal for the u.s. economy when you think about the spillover effect in construction jobs, you know, furniture, auto, cement, everything that comes with household formation in new home purchases. >> well, we want to thank you for joining us today. >> my pleasur
when we bought it just superior business model in a tough environment. if things get better, great, employment improves, we're going to have more hook-ups, housing improves, more connections, great growth story. if things don't get better, we're trying to protect for the downside and keep that optionalty if the economy improves. comcast could be a monster return on capital going forward. and that's been a big core holding for quite a while, as well. >> no kidding, you've done well -- you...
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Nov 13, 2012
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he says it remains one of caution in this environment. carl, back to you. >> wednesday is the day when they name the new partners at goldman, i believe. >> that's right. >> people waiting for the call. >> people close to or a source close to goldman sachs says it will be the smallest class in over a decade. probably less than 70 will be named partners at goldman sachs this year. back to you. >> thank you so much. mary thompson at headquarters. a big mover in drilling and natural gas space. >> weatherford this morning off 12% at 3.5 year low. the company warning that fourth quarter is going to come in for earnings below consensus on that number. and they also said that they still have not been able to resolve what they call material weakness in internal controls over financial reporting. they actually didn't break out their third quarter numbers. stock getting hit hard on a day when energy is already to the downside. >> motor trend magazine naming tesla's sedan the car of the year. will the model live up to the hype? we'll find out when te
he says it remains one of caution in this environment. carl, back to you. >> wednesday is the day when they name the new partners at goldman, i believe. >> that's right. >> people waiting for the call. >> people close to or a source close to goldman sachs says it will be the smallest class in over a decade. probably less than 70 will be named partners at goldman sachs this year. back to you. >> thank you so much. mary thompson at headquarters. a big mover in...
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Nov 14, 2012
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headline driven in this environment. yesterday you saw the sharp rally toward the end of the session. was it because of the rumor that spain might have a bailout or was it the rumor that potentially they were bundled 44 million euros together for greece? i don't know. it clearly moved the market, both of those things incidentally didn't happen. longer term, if you look at what is happening, europe versus the united states, you can see the effect of the fiscal cliff in the wake of the obama victory. here you see the yellow line here is the top 50 blue chips in europe. how they have traded over the last month. this is the dow jones industrial average. you'll see that under performance now, 4.5% as a result arguably of that fiscal cliff and arguably where the election left us. >> it's going to get tougher sledding. >>> meantime other capital markets op-ed, gary is looking although a few charts as he did yesterday. >> you know, carl, great piece by riches warning people about bond funds versus bonds. a lot of people ignore t
headline driven in this environment. yesterday you saw the sharp rally toward the end of the session. was it because of the rumor that spain might have a bailout or was it the rumor that potentially they were bundled 44 million euros together for greece? i don't know. it clearly moved the market, both of those things incidentally didn't happen. longer term, if you look at what is happening, europe versus the united states, you can see the effect of the fiscal cliff in the wake of the obama...
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Nov 15, 2012
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what's really going on here is we are talking about a consumer that's still struggling in this economic environment. unemployment has gotten better but it's still around 8%. we've got this fiscal cliff looming. yes, the holidays are around the corner so that's what many retailers are banking on. but beyond that it's been tough. we had super storm sandy hit. that put an impact on a lot of retailers from department stores to big box stores like target and walmart. really what they're saying is the consumer is still under some pressure. that paycheck cycle still an issue for the walmart consumer and they say that jobs, gas prices and rising food prices also an issue for that group of shoppers. >> is housing about to fall off the fiscal cliff? what homeowners and future home buyers need to know right now. >>> mean. time, let's head out to sue at the schwab investor summit. impact in chicago. what do you got, sue? >> we got a lot coming. up. incidentally, ty, they miss you out here. we're going to talk about how to prevent your portfolio from literally going over the fiscal cliff. michael cuggino will s
what's really going on here is we are talking about a consumer that's still struggling in this economic environment. unemployment has gotten better but it's still around 8%. we've got this fiscal cliff looming. yes, the holidays are around the corner so that's what many retailers are banking on. but beyond that it's been tough. we had super storm sandy hit. that put an impact on a lot of retailers from department stores to big box stores like target and walmart. really what they're saying is...
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Nov 16, 2012
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dell says a challenging macro economic environment is continuing into the current quarter. >>> schiff nutrition is the subject of a bidding war between two players, it had previously agreed to be bought by bayer. >>> hostess is expected to announce if it's going to go ahead with plans to liquidate, this is something it's been threatening to do if striking workers didn't return. hostess is operating under bankruptcy protection and we've been watching that closely. on a global report, there are reports out of israel, two hamas rockets have hit southern tel aviv, landed in an open field and reports say they did not cause any damage but this comes after a night of air strikes by israel against hamas in the gaza strip and we are watching that situation closely as well. joe? >> cnbc is making the push to rise above and yesterday former wyoming senator, alan simpson and the simpson of simpson-bowles spoke to cnbc and pretty much laid out our campaign. >> the leaders of both parties who think it would be to their advantage to go off the fiscal cliff. what a wonderful trait that is, that we co
dell says a challenging macro economic environment is continuing into the current quarter. >>> schiff nutrition is the subject of a bidding war between two players, it had previously agreed to be bought by bayer. >>> hostess is expected to announce if it's going to go ahead with plans to liquidate, this is something it's been threatening to do if striking workers didn't return. hostess is operating under bankruptcy protection and we've been watching that closely. on a global...
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Nov 15, 2012
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we think the holiday season is going to be competitive, we think we're still in a competitive retail environment and economic factors are making things somewhat difficult for our customers and that's why we're getting to those numbers. the stock had come in and it's going to again today. >> a lot of investors are thinking that this gigantic move and pull back appropriately to some average and was ready to blast off. look, you've got target nipping, you've got dollar tree reporting good numbers today. walmart had a great move. and now its great move i think has run its course. >> an amazing chart, if you go back to walmart stocks, the dip in the stock, it was the bryberry bottom for this quarter. i don't know if we're setting up for something better than anticipation but the head of u.s. walmart said november sales started ahead of plans. and they have got some extra sales thanks to lay away which has been a very popular program for retailers of late. >> we used to get monthly comps from all these retailers. >> those were the old days. >> i think the problem with wam mart, frankly is, the stock w
we think the holiday season is going to be competitive, we think we're still in a competitive retail environment and economic factors are making things somewhat difficult for our customers and that's why we're getting to those numbers. the stock had come in and it's going to again today. >> a lot of investors are thinking that this gigantic move and pull back appropriately to some average and was ready to blast off. look, you've got target nipping, you've got dollar tree reporting good...
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Nov 20, 2012
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340 to 360 a share but we guide what we think is realistic for q-1 which is a tough macro economic environment. a lot of our savings in terms of our savings program will be back end loaded because a lot of that is labor now moving to europe where it is much more difficult to separate people and takes longer and then some of our nonlabor savings we're instituting that executional excellence around skew reduction supply chain and those will kick in in the second half but perhaps most importantly we have some fantastic product coming up and i think i've been clear that companies come in on the backs of terrific products and those will kick in in the second half. >> many would say that they're going to have to. to those that would say what you're really do is managing a declining business because at the end of the day the rise of the tablet is actually the fall of the pc and printing because people just carry this thing around with them everywhere. how do you challenge that assumption that really all you're doing is managing a declining business. you may be managing it well. that's what it is. >>
340 to 360 a share but we guide what we think is realistic for q-1 which is a tough macro economic environment. a lot of our savings in terms of our savings program will be back end loaded because a lot of that is labor now moving to europe where it is much more difficult to separate people and takes longer and then some of our nonlabor savings we're instituting that executional excellence around skew reduction supply chain and those will kick in in the second half but perhaps most importantly...
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Nov 13, 2012
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shops in this consolidated apple like checkout, iphone, anyone can check you out, it's efficient, nice environment. it's the apple store customer interface combined with the best brands of the world in a small geography. we had $250 a square foot in sales with the traffic down 12%. >> for your sake and for ron johnson's sake i hope this works and i love a great come back story. >> i want to leave our viewers with one thing. the biggest problem people have with something like this, how can i own a stock when the sales are down 26%? i'll make one analogy and help people think about how to value this company. we took a stake in wendy's, why did people not like wendy's? i get a chance we come back after a commercial, i'm happy to stay. >> i think we're going. >> give me one minute and i'm happy to come back another time. wendy's, people hated the management, there was a fast growing company called tim horton's inside wendys. we separated and the stock doubled. we have this fast growing retail inside jcpenney, profitable and high margins and the rest of jcpenney is shrinking. it's hard to look at it on
shops in this consolidated apple like checkout, iphone, anyone can check you out, it's efficient, nice environment. it's the apple store customer interface combined with the best brands of the world in a small geography. we had $250 a square foot in sales with the traffic down 12%. >> for your sake and for ron johnson's sake i hope this works and i love a great come back story. >> i want to leave our viewers with one thing. the biggest problem people have with something like this,...
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Nov 19, 2012
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technologies allow natural gas producers to supply affordable, cleaner energy, while protecting our environment. across america, these technologies protect air - by monitoring air quality and reducing emissions... ...protect water - through conservation and self-contained recycling systems... ... and protect land - by reducing our footprint and respecting wildlife. america's natural gas... domestic, abundant, clean energy to power our lives... that's smarter power today. >>> hard rock international is teaming up with yoko ono. and why hunger for the imagine there's no hunger campaign. horn $4.5 would million has been raised during the past five years and the president and ce off of the hard rock cafe has been very involved in this. tell us a little bit it. >> thanks for having me. this is a ram we've beprogram w running for many years. there are a billion people beneath poverty and hunger level in the world. and the program really is a program that enjoins why hunger, yoko ono and ourselves and we encourage our staff and our customers to basically provide funding around this holiday season so t
technologies allow natural gas producers to supply affordable, cleaner energy, while protecting our environment. across america, these technologies protect air - by monitoring air quality and reducing emissions... ...protect water - through conservation and self-contained recycling systems... ... and protect land - by reducing our footprint and respecting wildlife. america's natural gas... domestic, abundant, clean energy to power our lives... that's smarter power today. >>> hard rock...
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Nov 19, 2012
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most of the people that trade the bank stocks right now say low interest rate environment and no growth or low growth environmentment in 2013. reason they are not particularly optimistic. today these stocks are bouncing back. carl, they have been beaten up badly in the last couple of months. >> thanks, bob. bob pisani. send it back to head quarters and kayla. she has the market flash. >> watching diamond food. the stock tlaubled for the last year a half. down another 11% today on a downgrade from jefferies. jefferies saying there is a -- 33% more downside for this company to go. last week it restated earnings for the last two years. wipe out about $56 million in profit. they had problem was their accounting and with the payme payments. >> meantime, tensions rising in the middle east. senior official close to binyamin netanyahu is ready for ground invasion in the gaza strip but prefers diplomatic solution to that conflict. >> reporter: hello there. in fact, it is nighttime in g . gaza. the attention is shifting south of where we are. focusing more on cairo, egypt. that's where intense ne
most of the people that trade the bank stocks right now say low interest rate environment and no growth or low growth environmentment in 2013. reason they are not particularly optimistic. today these stocks are bouncing back. carl, they have been beaten up badly in the last couple of months. >> thanks, bob. bob pisani. send it back to head quarters and kayla. she has the market flash. >> watching diamond food. the stock tlaubled for the last year a half. down another 11% today on a...